Possible scenario
Mediation Lowers Tensions
+0.4%
Regional mediators use the successful interception to argue that both sides can step back before another mass-casualty strike. Saudi Arabia keeps air defenses on high alert but limits follow-on strikes while back-channel talks resume.
What it moves
- Consumer Services+0.7%
- Energy−0.6%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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