Possible scenario
Policy Response Broadens
18% Chance
A revenue-generating Starship flight turns the vehicle into a policy issue as much as an engineering milestone. Regulators, the Pentagon, and competitors respond to the possibility that SpaceX could rapidly widen its lead in launch and satellite internet.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.2%
- Telecommunications +0.1%
Tickers
- SPCX+1.7%
- TMUS+0.7%
- RKLB+0.6%
- VSAT-0.6%
- -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.