Possible scenario
Court Imposes Restrictions
28% Chance
The judge finds Meta’s proof incomplete or too opaque, prompting interim restrictions while the company revises its filing. The most likely measures are fines, mandated disclosures, and limits on election-related ad targeting rather than a full platform ban.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.9%
- Consumer Services -0.6%
Tickers
- META-3.6%
- GOOG-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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