Possible scenario
Sanctions Tighten
30% Chance
Washington, Brussels, and London are likely to respond to record loadings by expanding vessel, owner, manager, and facilitator designations. The objective would be to raise the cost of each cargo and deter non-Russian service providers without triggering a broader LNG price shock.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.4%
Tickers
- TTE-0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.