Possible scenario
Osborn Implodes Further
18% Chance
Additional leaks or resignations deepen the narrative that Osborn cannot manage his campaign. Donors, volunteers, and local validators step back, turning a toss-up race into a Republican-leaning contest.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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