Possible scenario
Scale Plan Succeeds
42% Chance
Waymo executes the fleet expansion largely on schedule, using Zeekr-built vehicles and city-by-city permitting to broaden commercial service. Alphabet absorbs near-term losses but investors treat the larger fleet target as evidence that Waymo is moving from pilot programs to an infrastructure-scale mobility business.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.6%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.5%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Tickers
- LYFT-3.2%
- GOOGL+3.0%
- UBER-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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