Possible scenario
Race becomes toss-up
17% Chance
Obama's endorsement energizes Democrats but also accelerates Republican counter-mobilization, leaving neither Jackson nor Collins with a stable advantage. The race becomes one of the most expensive and closely watched Senate contests in the country.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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