Possible scenario
Collins recovers ground
30% Chance
Collins uses the endorsement to emphasize her bipartisan brand and portray Jackson as aligned with national Democratic leadership. Her long-standing appeal to independents and older voters keeps the seat highly competitive despite Jackson's recent momentum.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Energy +0.2%
- Healthcare +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.