Possible scenario
Damage Stays Contained
30% Chance
HEX finds a lower trading range as the market treats the arrest as a founder-specific event rather than a crypto-wide shock. Larger assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum see limited reaction because the case has been known since the SEC charged Heart in 2023.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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