7R-1D Map Used

The most likely path is that the 8th Circuit order controls the November election calendar, either because the U.S. Supreme Court declines emergency relief or because the ballot deadlines become decisive. This would put Representative Emanuel Cleaver's Kansas City-area district at serious risk while leaving the St. Louis Democratic seat as the likely lone Democratic district.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.