Possible scenario
Price War Deepens
30% Chance
Kimi, StepFun, and other model vendors respond with aggressive price cuts rather than clear technical differentiation. Users benefit from cheaper inference, but AI-lab revenue assumptions and gross-margin expectations come under pressure.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.5%
- Business Services +0.5%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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