Diplomatic De-escalation

Omani and possibly U.N. mediation creates a narrow path back to truce talks despite the airport deaths. This outcome is less likely than retaliation or a contained investigation, but both Saudi Arabia and the Houthis have reasons to avoid a prolonged exchange that damages airports, shipping, and energy infrastructure.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.