Possible scenario
Discovery Dispute Contained
38% Chance
The preservation order leads to routine forensic steps rather than a broader legal rupture. The Interior Department and DOJ comply enough to satisfy the court while maintaining that the D.C. golf overhaul plan is not final.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.