Possible scenario
Routine Fleet Integration
42% Chance
The most likely path is that the Coast Guard accepts the first four MQ-9B aircraft on a normal acquisition schedule and uses them to extend maritime surveillance over the Pacific. The purchase follows the 2023 budget request and aligns with the service's stated push for more persistent patrol capacity.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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