Possible scenario
Budget Friction
18% Chance
Congressional scrutiny could slow the program if lawmakers focus on procurement costs, operating expenses, staffing needs, or overlap with existing Customs and Border Protection unmanned aircraft. The first four drones are unlikely to be canceled, but follow-on buys could be delayed.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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