Possible scenario
Independent Power Broker
15% Chance
Fetterman exits the Democratic fold but chooses an independent label rather than becoming a Republican outright. This path gives him bargaining power while preserving some appeal to Pennsylvania swing voters.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
- Technology -0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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