Possible scenario
Glut Persists
40% Chance
Record U.S. gas withdrawals are interpreted mainly as a supply story, with Permian associated gas and resilient oil drilling keeping production above demand growth. Storage remains comfortable, regional basis weakens, and investors mark down dry-gas producers while rewarding users of cheap feedstock.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.9%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.4%
- Utilities +0.3%
- Industrials +0.1%
Tickers
- EQT-1.8%
- EXE-1.7%
- -1.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.