Possible scenario
Primes Retain Control
28% Chance
The most politically durable path is a hybrid model where Anduril supplies automation, robotics, software, and selected modules while incumbent shipbuilders control nuclear-submarine integration. This avoids a direct confrontation with the Navy’s certified nuclear shipyard base.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.4%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- GD+2.1%
- HII+1.9%
- BWXT+1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.