Scenario description
Assume that by 2027-03-31, Anduril, the U.S. Navy, Tradepoint Atlantic, Maryland or Baltimore County authorities, or named prime-yard/supplier partners materially advance the Arsenal-2 submarine-yard project at Sparrows Point beyond the October 2026 launch. The initiating change is one or more executable milestones such as issued or substantially approved construction or environmental permits, major site-preparation or vertical-construction work, signed construction or equipment contracts, binding supplier or prime-yard integration agreements for Virginia-class submarine modules, announced hiring/training programs tied to the Maryland facility, or Navy contract obligations/tasking that fund facility development under the reported performance-based ceiling. The reported project scope remains the Maryland Arsenal-2 shipbuilding/manufacturing hub intended to support Virginia-class submarine super modules, casings, or prefabricated sections; exact interim spending, labor-hours, supplier volumes, and permit conditions may remain unavailable.