Possible scenario
Fed Patience Reinforced
20% Chance
The stronger regional manufacturing index nudges investors toward the view that the Federal Reserve can remain patient. The effect is modest because the Dallas Fed survey is only one input, but it still supports slightly higher Treasury yields.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.3%
- Finance +0.2%
- Technology -0.2%
- Industrials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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