Possible scenario
Controversy Stays Contained
45% Chance
Nithya Raman moves quickly to distance herself from the video maker, reiterates that the deleted LAPD-chief video was not properly vetted, and avoids a broader political rupture. Karen Bass and LAPD supporters continue to criticize her judgment, but the story remains mostly inside Los Angeles City Hall and local campaign circles.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.