Possible scenario
Fuel Crisis Deepens
27% Chance
U.S. interdictions keep Venezuelan and third-country fuel from reaching Cuba at usable scale. Solar construction cannot offset the near-term diesel shortage, forcing more factory shutdowns, transport cuts and food spoilage.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.2%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.1%
- Utilities -0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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