Possible scenario
Paxton Resists Terms
25% Chance
Paxton may try to accept the idea of a debate while objecting to timing, moderators, or format. This lets him avoid a risky encounter in the short run, but it gives Talarico material to argue that Paxton is defying both Trump and voters.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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