Possible scenario
Paxton Accepts Debate
45% Chance
Trump's public demand makes it difficult for Ken Paxton to avoid James Talarico without appearing weak to Republican voters. Paxton is most likely to accept a controlled Fox News format that lets him satisfy Trump while limiting downside risk.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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