Possible scenario
Ethics Review Contained
38% Chance
The most likely path is a contained Senate Ethics Committee review focused on whether staff disclosures were timely and compliant. Gillibrand's defense and the absence of a named enforcement action keep the matter politically damaging but not market-moving.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Tickers
- COIN+0.2%
- HOOD+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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