Possible scenario
Policy Scrutiny Returns
20% Chance
DeepSeek's stronger coding performance renews U.S. and allied scrutiny of Chinese frontier models, especially for government contractors and sensitive software development. The policy reaction focuses less on consumer chat use and more on code security, model provenance, and cloud access.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Business Services -0.2%
Tickers
- MSFT+0.7%
- PLTR+0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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