Controlled Protest Weekend

The most likely outcome is that curfews, gendarmerie reinforcements and limited military deployment around infrastructure deter the worst violence. Demonstrations still occur in Paris, Lyon, Marseille, Lille and Toulouse, but the state prevents a repeat of the mass looting and 2,400 arrests seen on October 19.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.