Possible scenario
Tough Sentencing Follows
35% Chance
Federal prosecutors use the jury verdict to press for a lengthy prison sentence, forfeiture, and victim restitution. This is the most likely path because the conviction fits a broader DOJ pattern of treating DeFi exploits as prosecutable theft and money-laundering cases rather than gray-area code disputes.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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