Possible scenario
Earnings Stabilize Banks
40% Chance
Large US banks report Q3 results that are not as weak as the pre-earnings selloff implied. JPMorgan, Bank of America and Wells Fargo show resilient credit quality, manageable deposit costs and only moderate loan-loss reserve builds.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +1.4%
Tickers
- JPM+2.8%
- +2.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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