Blockade Violence Persists

The most likely path is continued low-level settler violence under the comprehensive West Bank closure, with Israeli police and the IDF preventing wider unrest but not materially restraining Hilltop Youth groups. Palestinian movement, commerce, and access to medical care remain sharply disrupted, especially around Nablus, Hebron, and Ramallah.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.