Possible scenario
Hochul Wins Clearly
42% Chance
Kathy Hochul’s 48%-41% polling lead proves durable as Democratic turnout in New York City and Westchester offsets Bruce Blakeman’s strength on Long Island. The result resembles a conventional blue-state reelection rather than a Republican breakthrough.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Utilities +0.1%
Tickers
- SLG+0.5%
- ED+0.5%
- VNO+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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