Possible scenario
Hochul Survives Narrowly
28% Chance
The race tightens in the final weeks as Blakeman’s attacks on crime, migrants, congestion pricing, and affordability resonate outside New York City. Hochul still wins because Democratic turnout and institutional support are enough to overcome weak approval ratings.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- SLG-0.3%
- VNO-0.2%
- ED-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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