Possible scenario
Gold Holds Range
45% Chance
Gold remains near $4,141 as elevated Treasury yields are offset by central-bank demand and lingering inflation hedging. Markets treat the multi-decade yield highs as largely priced in unless fresh U.S. data changes the rate outlook.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
Tickers
- NGT+0.2%
- +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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