Possible scenario
Survivor Accounts Resurface
25% Chance
Hastert’s death prompts renewed attention to survivors and former Yorkville High School students. News organizations revisit court filings, sentencing transcripts, and the public testimony that reshaped his legacy.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.