Possible scenario
Texas Stays Toss-Up
20% Chance
Senate Majority PAC's entry keeps Texas central to the Senate map, but the race remains too close to call for weeks. Both parties pour money into the state, making control of the chamber more uncertain and delaying clear capital allocation assumptions.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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