Possible scenario
Democrats Flip Senate
30% Chance
The Texas investment proves to be more than a forcing mechanism and reflects a broad Democratic wave. Talarico either wins outright or forces Republicans to divert enough money that Democrats flip the chamber through multiple competitive states.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
- Finance -0.4%
- Healthcare -0.3%
- Utilities +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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