Possible scenario
Race Becomes Toss-Up
18% Chance
Polling volatility and Alaska's small, hard-to-model electorate make the race harder to classify despite the Democratic-leaning signal. Both campaigns and national committees spend heavily, treating the seat as pivotal to Senate control.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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