Possible scenario
Recall Stays Contained
45% Chance
The most likely path is that OneKey's removal of CryptoBilis becomes part of a limited product-containment effort rather than a systemic crypto custody crisis. Ledger's prior halt and OneKey's free replacement offer give the industry a template for recalls, refunds, and distributor blacklists.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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