Possible scenario
Cuts Largely Stand
30% Chance
The administration may decide the political and legal risks are manageable and keep the inspector general's office sharply reduced. This would weaken internal oversight at a systemically important housing regulator, but the immediate market reaction would likely remain limited because core GSE operations continue.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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