Possible scenario
Aid Surge Contains
35% Chance
WHO, Africa CDC, UNICEF, MSF and DR Congo health authorities secure enough access and funding to slow transmission. Case growth continues for several weeks, but vaccination, isolation capacity and safe-burial programs prevent the outbreak from becoming a broader regional crisis.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.5%
- Consumer Services +0.2%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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