Possible scenario
Geopolitical Scrutiny Intensifies
18% Chance
DeepSeek's revenue scale and financing plans draw renewed attention from US and allied policymakers. The company becomes a test case for whether export controls can slow Chinese AI commercialization after earlier cost-cutting breakthroughs.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
Tickers
- NVDA-1.7%
- -1.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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