Possible scenario
Dam Breach Occurs
22% Chance
McLeod Dam fails despite evacuation efforts, sending a flood wave into the downstream corridor. The market impact remains modest because the event is local, but insurers, utilities and regional infrastructure operators face negative near-term sentiment.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.3%
- Utilities -0.2%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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