Possible scenario
Harassment Crisis Deepens
20% Chance
The accuser's name continues spreading on X and through Grok screenshots, keeping the harassment cycle active despite blocks on Meta and TikTok. Cornell, local police, and prosecutors respond to threats and misidentifications, increasing pressure on platforms to intervene.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
Tickers
- SPCX-0.7%
- META-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.