Possible scenario
Hearings Gain Traction
40% Chance
The bill does not immediately become law, but it gives Democrats a vehicle to force hearings and document requests through Senate committees. This is the most likely near-term path because the 2025 Senate interest and 2026 DOJ-file dispute create a credible oversight rationale even without full bipartisan support.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -1.0%
Tickers
- JPM-2.6%
- BNY-2.0%
- BAC-1.9%
- DB-1.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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