Possible scenario
Partisan Legal Fight
20% Chance
Democrats and immigrant-rights groups argue that ICE is publicizing selective arrests for political effect, especially given the broader context that only a small number of high-risk overstays were arrested. Republicans counter that the case validates stronger visa-overstay enforcement.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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