Possible scenario
Selloff Extends
30% Chance
The slide continues if investors keep repricing rates higher and reduce exposure to long-duration growth stocks. The Fear and Greed Index at 23 may not be enough to attract buyers if Treasury yields rise again or AI demand doubts broaden.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Bitcoin Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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