Possible scenario
White House Contains
20% Chance
The Trump White House tries to isolate the issue by saying Susie Wiles was not involved in her daughter's lobbying work and that ethics rules were followed. This path is plausible because administrations often resolve family-linked lobbying controversies through recusals, disclosures, and narrow internal reviews.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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