Possible scenario
Probe Loses Momentum
45% Chance
Microsoft's explanation that most H-1B filings were extensions, transfers, or role changes becomes the dominant interpretation. The White House and Senate critics continue rhetoric, but agencies find limited grounds for immediate action against Microsoft's green-card sponsorship.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.3%
Tickers
- MSFT+1.0%
- AMZN+0.4%
- GOOG+0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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