Possible scenario
Regulators Slow Rollout
20% Chance
Supervisors accept the potential benefits of tokenized deposits but require stronger guardrails before broad deployment. Concerns center on 24/7 liquidity management, operational resilience, AML screening and the legal treatment of tokenized commercial bank money.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.4%
- Technology -0.4%
Tickers
- IBM-1.0%
- RY-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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