Possible scenario
Haven Rally Revives
20% Chance
A bullish alternative emerges if the latest selloff proves temporary and investors rebuild haven exposure. Geopolitical risk, fiscal-debt concerns and lower real-rate expectations would make Wells Fargo's revised target look too conservative.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- US dollar Down
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +1.3%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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